2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Sean Burke
Sean Burke RHP CWS
99 matchups scored · 11 game days
7 HRs Allowed
7.1% HR Rate (Pool)
12.0% Overall HR/FB
3.36 FIP
3.88 xFIP
-0.52 FIP-xFIP Gap
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
0.64
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
12.0%
Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
45th pctile
0.0%
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
64.7%
Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
·
FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
3.36
FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
28th pctile
3.88
xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
-0.52
FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
24th pctile
7.1%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
99
Pool Matchups
7
HRs Allowed (Pool)
9
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
7.1%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 0 0.0% 0.0 93.9mph · · · Down -7.1pp
Last 15 27 3 2 7.4% 0.67 94.9mph 105.9mph 23.5° 394ft Flat +0.3pp
Last 30 54 6 5 9.3% 0.83 96.5mph 105.1mph 25.0° 396ft Up +2.2pp
Batted-Ball Damage
68 tracked BBE from 99 pool matchups
96.3
113.4
44
0
105.4
24.7°
396
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-05-31 Kevin McGonigle 106.1mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Riley Greene 103.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Spencer Torkelson 102.7mph · · · ·
2026-05-31 Wenceel Pérez 100.4mph · · · ·
2026-05-26 Kody Clemens 104.2mph · · · ·
2026-05-20 Jhonny Pereda 106.7mph 106.7mph 22° 392ft Yes
2026-05-20 Randy Arozarena 105.1mph 105.1mph 25° 396ft Yes
2026-05-20 Dominic Canzone 104.1mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
11 days · 7 total HRs
HRs Allowed
7 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-05-20 Randy Arozarena #183 35 T-Mobile Park 105.1mph 25.0° 396.0ft
2026-05-20 Jhonny Pereda #209 29 T-Mobile Park 106.7mph 22.0° 392.0ft
2026-05-08 Luke Raley #169 21 Rate Field 103.6mph 27.0° 372.0ft
2026-05-08 Josh Naylor #205 14 Rate Field 105.2mph 26.0° 403.0ft
2026-05-08 Julio Rodríguez #208 13 Rate Field 104.8mph 25.0° 418.0ft
2026-04-15 Junior Caminero #93 42 Rate Field 104.8mph 24.0° 393.0ft
2026-04-15 Jake Fraley #129 24 Rate Field 107.3mph 24.0° 398.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 466 37.9% -0.9 82.6 31.3° 4
Knuckle Curve 254 20.7% +1.1 84.0 3.3° 1
Slider 203 16.5% -0.9 81.1 23.2° 1
Sinker 191 15.5% -0.4 85.6 26.3° 1
Cutter 70 5.7% -0.4 84.3 17.0° 1
Changeup 45 3.7% +1.3 80.6 27.9° 0
Quality of Contact
FanGraphs season stats
Barrel%
0.0%
0.0%
HardHit%
64.7%
64.7%
All Scored Matchups
99 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-05-31 Zach McKinstry #259 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Colt Keith #249 24 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Jake Rogers #216 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Kevin McGonigle #187 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Riley Greene #169 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Matt Vierling #165 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-31 Wenceel Pérez #126 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-31 Kerry Carpenter #115 47 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-31 Spencer Torkelson #90 51 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Luke Keaschall #198 31 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Victor Caratini #178 35 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Austin Martin #163 38 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Trevor Larnach #158 38 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Tristan Gray #118 44 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 James Outman #107 45 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-26 Kody Clemens #103 45 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 Brooks Lee #96 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 Byron Buxton #3 81 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 Jhonny Pereda #209 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-20 Cole Young #203 31 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Josh Naylor #188 34 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-20 Randy Arozarena #183 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-20 J.P. Crawford #148 39 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-20 Colt Emerson #101 47 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-20 Julio Rodríguez #100 47 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 Dominic Canzone #69 54 🟠 C ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-20 Luke Raley #4 87 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Nico Hoerner #224 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Alex Bregman #219 28 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-15 Carson Kelly #188 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Pete Crow-Armstrong #156 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 Michael Busch #137 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-15 Dansby Swanson #133 44 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Seiya Suzuki #85 53 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Moisés Ballesteros #71 57 🟠 C 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-15 Ian Happ #12 80 🟢 A 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-08 J.P. Crawford #234 8 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-08 Leo Rivas #217 11 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Julio Rodríguez #208 13 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-08 Josh Naylor #205 14 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-05-08 Randy Arozarena #189 18 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Cole Young #183 19 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-05-08 Cal Raleigh #182 19 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-08 Luke Raley #169 21 ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-05-08 Dominic Canzone #156 22 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Jake Cronenworth #245 10 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Fernando Tatis Jr. #233 12 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Jackson Merrill #226 13 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-02 Xander Bogaerts #200 18 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Nick Castellanos #186 20 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Ramón Laureano #185 20 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-02 Manny Machado #160 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-02 Gavin Sheets #143 27 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-02 Miguel Andujar #132 28 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Alek Thomas #219 17 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-21 Geraldo Perdomo #215 18 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Gabriel Moreno #192 25 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-21 Ildemaro Vargas #191 25 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-21 Nolan Arenado #190 25 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Jose Fernandez #157 31 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-21 Ketel Marte #127 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Jorge Barrosa #121 37 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-21 Corbin Carroll #80 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Hunter Feduccia #143 19 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Chandler Simpson #142 8 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Taylor Walls #138 14 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 Jake Fraley #129 24 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-04-15 Cedric Mullins #123 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-15 Richie Palacios #115 25 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Jonathan Aranda #114 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Yandy Díaz #105 32 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-15 Junior Caminero #93 42 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-08 Adley Rutschman #161 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Ryan Mountcastle #141 36 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Dylan Carlson #140 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Jackson Holliday #121 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Coby Mayo #111 40 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Tyler O'Neill #91 47 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-08 Colton Cowser #57 46 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-08 Gunnar Henderson #49 40 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-08 Jordan Westburg #21 45 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-02 Ernie Clement #44 27 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 Myles Straw #40 28 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 Andres Gimenez #29 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Alejandro Kirk #17 37 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-02 Nathan Lukes #15 34 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-02 Bo Bichette #9 39 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #5 43 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-02 Addison Barger #4 46 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-02 George Springer #1 54 🟠 C ➖ NTRL ·
2026-03-28 Joey Ortiz #191 30 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-28 Caleb Durbin #130 36 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 Sal Frelick #116 33 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Isaac Collins #93 39 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Jackson Chourio #57 48 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-28 William Contreras #56 40 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Rhys Hoskins #50 47 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Brice Turang #48 42 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-28 Christian Yelich #2 49 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

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